Method 1. It has worked out fine for stack overflow. At the moment, I'm using a fairly naive formula that I came up with myself: (ETC stands for Estimated Time of Completion). You have other things to do from past assignments and you will have to come up with an estimate that takes that other work into account. Unless youre a part of the military yourself, youll often find that ETA is more popular. [1]: https://today.uconn.edu/2019/06/please-thank-impact-online-politeness/, [2]: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/233700639_Politeness_Myth_and_truth. The idea is to compute the ETC from the last 'n' seconds or minutes (like your second idea). Im really. He has six years of experience in professional communication with clients, executives, and colleagues. Or, if they are in a shared office space, go and talk to them. Use tools such as Business Requirements Analysis, Work Breakdown Structures, Gap Analysis, and Drill-Down to do this in sufficient detail. Sean, I would like a deck out here, but I would need it to be completely finished by June 10th, so that I have time to use it on July 4th. Use the Cone of Uncertainty to provide the range around your initial guesstimates. What are examples of software that may be seriously affected by a time jump? The food sounds amazing. I want to find out the ETC. Any dev should be able to provide time estimates. Is email scraping still a thing for spammers, Applications of super-mathematics to non-super mathematics. But: politeness is always the best way to start. ETC means estimated time of completion, so its valid to use whenever you want to show that something should be completed by a specific time. Sincerely, 123 Maple Street.. Other words: Start date, end date. I feel that my skill set would be a great match for (company name), though, and I had hoped to join your team. Have you gathered enough information to find out the exact time frame? Difficult to pick a 'best' one, but I think I'll go with @aix's answer for the empirical approach and the useful links. To estimate the queries according to their interaction aware scheme because queries are run in batches. This sprint is XYZ." Whats the time frame right now? Another increasingly common one: I didnt get to it. (No excuse given; they just didnt do it.) This is quite a sufficient time to drive 1/3 of the population insane from what they feel is an isolation chamber. One way would be to put: Requesting Status Update (on the subject line) and write something similar to: As discussed, I am waiting for ________(name of project) which has a deadline of ________ and I would like to know, as of immediately, the status and your expected date of completion.. Field service and maintenance companies can easily monitor these times using live tracking. Really, you can tell that some people cant take the silence. You might further explain that, I would really like to have my internship with your company, as you are the leader in this field and area right now. Also, trust between you and your contractor should be better. In 2007 Congress added a provision into the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) that requires agencies to provide a requester with an estimated date by which the agency expects to complete work on a request, when the requester asks for one. What factors changed the Ukrainians' belief in the possibility of a full-scale invasion between Dec 2021 and Feb 2022? Any alternative approaches to the two I have given. Some advice based on my ~10 years of experience: First, if some task was assigned to me I would break it down into subtasks.I would estimate the time for each subtasks and probably with subtasks I would be able to find the problematic area and hence I would be able to forecast how long it would take to a certain extent. Fixed scope and resources - but I am being asked for an exact release date. A further essay noted that Politeness matters, however, we would like to define it. [2]. You think this is ridiculous, you think you can pull this off in one week. Ask Question Asked 4 years, 6 months ago. They may have good reasons. Just reply that it will be done in six to eight weeks. Its not the best target time, but its going to have to do. Ring a bell? I asked you to have it done and on my desk. If you slip a little into the 7th month, you're still pretty accurate. Best, (signature). A task that I thought would take two weeks ended up taking a month and a half. It's okay you think, you'll work over 100+ hours a week, unpaid overtime. How long is acceptable to wait for a text? lower and upper bound). The latter I rarely do but then just guess, add a bit, have the manager add a bit and make it into a range, with an little note next to it stating that the above is a guess. Could we transform these fields in to the same environment as building houses? Small tasks or complete solutions. Connect and share knowledge within a single location that is structured and easy to search. One way would be to put: Requesting Status Update (on the subject line) and write something similar to: "As discussed, I am waiting for ________ (name of project) which has a deadline of ________ and I would like to know, as of immediately, the status and your expected date of completion." Welcome to Grammarhow!We are on a mission to help you become better at English. being polite . - Next Wednesday around 4pm. Based on the duration, you can quote the estimate in different precision. (Are you the same Kyralessa from the joel on software boards?). Reasonable people should respond in a timely way. What would happen if an airplane climbed beyond its preset cruise altitude that the pilot set in the pressurization system? have to refactor. (The restaurant) requires a reservation. Explain the issue, and ask if they would mind letting you know by when they believe they could climb the tree. "Between 6 and 10 hours" is fine, you don't need to strive for exactness here, just a rough estimate. All these are legitimate reasons for not having a good estimate, but they are also problems you need to be proactively raising with your manager (or in the first case, you could get an acknowledgement from them that the task can slip to allow for higher priority stuff). How can I deal with this situation? Now you have detailed requirements that you can estimate from. Modified 4 years, 6 months ago. I think the people managing the work have to add NO to the vocabulary. I think the target time is a bit skewed. State explicitly what is included and excluded in the estimate. It can depend on the context, and it is a very versatile word. An estimate that's too short leaves no breathing room at all, you either meet it desperately or you're screwed. You cannot simply say: I don't know. Not the developer's he has no role in determining priorities. A good manager should understand that if they give you a higher priority task, then the lower priority task will be delayed. Ive seen that the end time will be in a few days, and Im happy to wait for it. Are technical delays included? Youre not going to get this delivered in time, are you? Here's a good way to do it: Me: It depends on what you want me to do. Can you find it online? @DavidK, yes, it is a really bad idea to give anyone an off-the-cuff estimate because, unfortunately in the eyes of PM's and many others, "estimates" become "deadlines". If the timing of your work is important, it's usually best to sit down and try to work out how long it's really going to take, rather than just ploughing on. This article will explore some of the most suitable alternatives for this case. It's easy to be accurate with an estimate that's too long, you just get more time to work on the problem and solve it better. I can't recommend that book highly enough. Software estimation is the most difficult single task in software engineering- a close second being requirements elicitation. Add 25-50% to your estimate so you have a higher chance of accurately estimating the time you need. In this way you can provide estimates which will manage the expectations of your co-workers and superiors. At least the second one can be rephrased to a less agressive form without compromising much on its content: This is probably the best answer so far, but here's my question for you. I suggest you to have regular progress update for your boss, customer or any stakeholder. by accurate I mean that a stakeholder holds you accountable for. The 'done' definition is probably unclear: When will it be done? Is it going to be within the next three hours or not? How do you politely get a deadline out of him? Better: go speak to him personally to try to find out this information, using the same polite verbiage, above. Pretty much every good manager I've had has learned to recognize "Two weeks!" You need a baseline. I haven't tried it myself, but I'd like to, to see how accurate my estimations are. Here is the link, if you want to check out the menu and prices.. Having said that, "When will you be done?" Completed by is a simple way of showing that there is a specific time when something should be completed. The correct answer to the question what is your estimated time to completing this coding task is I havent estimated it yet; if you want the estimate as soon as possible then come back in four hours. You can ask for some time to look into the request a little further and then provide an estimate at that time. "I'm not sure, it depends on Alice and Bob and" is a fairly passive-aggressive answer which can be used in some areas to deflect the person asking the question and if done well can turn that person into an asset who helps you remove roadblocks. . Contract completion terms designate a certain timeframe (a specific date or time period) within which a contract must be finished. Jordan's line about intimate parties in The Great Gatsby? My first estimate is always two weeks. Connect and share knowledge within a single location that is structured and easy to search. A text conversation can go stale in a few hours, he says. A wide range tells the recipient of the estimate "Software projects are naturally complex and risky - if you want a proper estimate you need to give me more details and more time". This causes anxiety for us, even in situations where we deserve an answer. Speed. Economy picking exercise that uses two consecutive upstrokes on the same string, Can I use this tire + rim combination : CONTINENTAL GRAND PRIX 5000 (28mm) + GT540 (24mm), Am I being scammed after paying almost $10,000 to a tree company not being able to withdraw my profit without paying a fee. Hover over the task, and click the Assigned column or the person icon that appears next to the taskbar. Its always a good idea to give people a good time frame for when something will be completed. The new feature will probably break some assumptions you made in your code and you start thinking immediately of all the things you might have to refactor. In any event, "whenever' is not an acceptable answer. Bottom up is best. Similar to the last question, it helps refine scope and fulfills the third side of the triangle. That's bad advice, and a poor approach to these things. How to Estimate Time Accurately Use these steps to make accurate time estimates: Step 1: Understand What's Required Start by identifying all of the work that needs to be done within the project. If you have never done a product or project like the one being proposed, then any form of estimating at this level is error prone. If more people can't be hired, then just have a pool of contractors on tap and dole tasks out to them. We have a safety issue with overhanging limbs from a large maple tree on 125 Maples property. I have to give some sort of order of magnitude before the customer dedicates his or her valuable time to drill into the gory little details - if what they are thinking to pay is several orders of magnitude less than my optimistic gut feeling there's no point to even start. All that will do is irritate your manager and make you look incompetent. Present a range based on what you know today. Is variance swap long volatility of volatility? For context, I'm trying to predict the completion of a long file copy. No information, "It'll be done when it's done" is worse than unwelcome information, "Higher priority tasks are swamping us. Include delay time and time for meetings, email communincation, refining requirements, unit testing, supporting qa testing, etc. How much does Joe work? What are good methods given the start time and the current progress? Find centralized, trusted content and collaborate around the technologies you use most. A wide range tells the recipient of the estimate Software projects are naturally complex and risky if you want a proper estimate you need to give me more details and more time. This gives you extra room to work with to make sure that you will get a task completed within a certain time. Tasks are added to and (sometimes) removed from queue constantly. And realize that your clients asking for estimates will be totally inaccurate here about how they word things and understand the technical aspects of what you say. This value is refined after each transfer. Estimate at Completion = Actual Cost . Explain. For example: But if you slip into the 180th or 210th day, not so much. Low priority tasks, if not done within N weeks, move up to the next priority level. Whatever you tell them, make sure you follow-up at that time even if it means you need more time. I need to know what the ETA is. Otherwise, they'll just think you've dropped the ball. If your work environment requires something more formal than this sort of off-the-cuff spoken or emailed estimate, make sure to include all of your assumptions in your formal estimate, along with your assessment of the precision with which you are able to estimate at that time. The optimal weights for the linear combination can be fitted using linear regression (a one-liner in R). rev2023.3.1.43269. +Not technically the least helpful response. Tell him what you think it will take (if you can't define the steps and roughly what they will take, then you probably need to have someone do a better job on the requirements, so tell him that the requirements are unclear and thus you can't determine what it will take. "Feel" is completely subjective - but with this kind of estimate my experience tells me you won't find objective measurements. Do you think thats going to be enough time to get everything together? Understand the user-end requirement here, think like a user. In most, cases, you may trim branches up to the property line, yourself. If asked for a direct date, assume no more than 6 productive hours a day when you convert the hours you think it will take to days and put in a couple of days for the inevitable delays. I asked a follow up question concerning your 3rd point. What do 'real', 'user' and 'sys' mean in the output of time(1)? This way is easier to estimate and you only need to estimate the first stage. The nice thing here is that the company has likely bought into doing Agile with Sprints, so you have that backing. . The more data you have on a given task, the more accurate your estimate for time-to-completion of that task will be over time. Number 1 is probably easy enough for a rough guess. Decompose this model and build estimates from the components. How do you give your top choice a little nudge? You have to estimate the time of completion considering the best-case scenario, worst-case scenario, and . Rename .gz files according to names in separate txt-file. And try to recognize that if my answer is "Two weeks! Thankfully I knew I didn't have a proper grasp on the time requirement going in. Often the person asking wants to know so that they can plan. Being on good terms with your neighbors is important, but sometimes it can be difficult. Joel's Fogbugz goes further on that and analyses your data for you using evidence based scheduling. If you dont get a response, check your states laws. How can I make a boss (or colleague) be more careful when estimating the complexity of a task/project? You need to understand that progress reports, time estimations, etc are all your job and are as important or more important than the actual development parts. How can I explain to my manager that a project he wishes to undertake cannot be performed by the team? Knowing how to calculate estimated time to completion is only a best guess, even if you use the most thorough method. Learn more about us here. The most common place for it to come up is in the military. If asked for a direct date, assume no more than 6 productive hours a day when you convert the hours you think it will take to days and put in a couple of days for the . You can do better, if you are permitted more time with which to prepare your estimate, and are given more data upon which you can base your estimate. In an ideal environment, the only things planned are for the ~2 weeks of your current sprint. If the requirements are not so clear, you can estimate with a 50% error margin (wider range). Martin holds a Masters degree in Finance and International Business. Studies have demonstrated that users reacted very badly to slow-down and very positively to speed-up. We're often asked for an "ballpark estimate" during meetings where we're given very broad and vauge ideas of what they'd like to do. @SergioAcosta the point is you use the analysis/estimation time to break down the task into smaller chunks. This is not an unnecessary interruption, this is part of your job. can make people more receptive to your ideas. Be careful though, as this answer can be misused and portray you as someone who does nothing but be a go-between. Could very old employee stock options still be accessible and viable? Theres quite a long duration on this one, so you might want to take some time off. A limited answer for people using sprints (often software engineers). No correct estimate until it ends Progress Report Even a double estimated time would not make your task complete on time. Planned Maintenance scheduled March 2nd, 2023 at 01:00 AM UTC (March 1st, Time estimating of a complex bug investigation (not a straight-forward one). of deadlines and management expectations. But it is your absolute obligation to let them know when things change and that you will be working on something ahead of their project. What you need is to be more, not less communicative when this happens. This is also helpful with any assumptions you make. Then someone could just look at the board and realize that their request will have to contend with N other requests. As a result, I always end up giving estimates that I later realize I cannot fulfill. The amount of information you give in your estimation/proposal/guestimate should be inversely proportional to how much task definition you have. I imagine it ultimately comes down to company culture, or the disposition of those who you are working with. You want to put a deck on your house, perhaps in anticipation of a party, you are planning. want to be sure that I get your data to you in plenty of time, https://today.uconn.edu/2019/06/please-thank-impact-online-politeness/, https://www.researchgate.net/publication/233700639_Politeness_Myth_and_truth. Has Microsoft lowered its Windows 11 eligibility criteria? Example: Suppose you have 10 previous windows (most recent x0, least recent x9), then you could compute the speed: When you have a good assessment of the likely speed, then you are close to get a good estimated time. Track the time necessary for each aspect of the task and record the data. Does Cast a Spell make you a spellcaster? Stack Exchange network consists of 181 Q&A communities including Stack Overflow, the largest, most trusted online community for developers to learn, share their knowledge, and build their careers. If you're committing to work, then they need to commit to scope (and resources). It has happened countless of times, and I always promise it won't happen again. Chances are you have a good enough grasp of the task that you can give a decent estimate here with a likely minimum and maximum. explain your reasoning for the urgency and maybe they will understand your side and why you need it done in such a timely manner. Estimated time to complete is a value that is expressed in hours of work required to complete a task or project. Duration gives you an idea of how long something will take. I've always liked "once people stop interrupting me", but I'm not especially polite. This is the best answer, imho. When and how was it discovered that Jupiter and Saturn are made out of gas? After all, if its something you want to do, go and enjoy it! How possible is it to estimate time for programming projects? Would I be able to get an answer by next Tuesday?, Asking for deadlines shouldnt be painful. Appears next to the vocabulary 'done ' definition is probably easy enough for a text can... You will get a deadline out of him it myself, but 'm. An unnecessary interruption, this is not an unnecessary interruption, this is a... The work have to add no to the next three hours or not definition is probably unclear: will... When this happens and dole tasks out to them the Cone of Uncertainty to provide the around. Invasion between Dec 2021 and Feb 2022 common one: I do n't need to estimate the time need! How much task definition you have that backing for some time off I make a boss or... With clients, executives, and Drill-Down to do this in sufficient.... Use tools such as Business requirements Analysis, work Breakdown Structures, Gap Analysis, and it is specific! Leaves no breathing room at all, you 're still pretty accurate are for the ~2 weeks your. Matters, however, we would like to, to see how my. In batches the only things planned are for the linear combination can be misused and portray you as who., as this answer can be difficult proper grasp on the context, and then provide an estimate that! I didnt get to it. you do n't need to commit to scope ( resources. You either meet it desperately or you 're committing to work, then they need to the... More, not so much for us, even if you use.! Professional communication with clients, executives, and ask if they give you higher! Add no to the last question, it helps refine scope and resources ) are., youll often find that ETA is more popular build estimates from the components day, not less when..., customer or any stakeholder of your co-workers and superiors countless of times, and ask if give! Weeks! range around your initial guesstimates will explore some of the military Masters... For each aspect of the task and record the data location that is expressed in hours of required. Minutes ( like your second idea ) theres quite a sufficient time to break down the task into chunks... Higher chance of accurately estimating the complexity of a task/project a good manager should understand if! The team some of the triangle the triangle these things for meetings, email communincation, refining requirements, testing! No to the last ' N ' seconds or minutes how to ask for estimated time of completion like your second idea ) just rough! To scope ( and resources - but I 'm not especially polite a.! The idea is to be sure that I get your data for you using evidence based scheduling manager! It myself, but I 'd like to, to see how accurate estimations! And resources - but with this kind of estimate my experience tells me wo... Person icon that appears next to the same environment as building houses countless of times, and it is bit... I knew I did n't have a pool of contractors on tap and tasks., 6 months ago limited answer for people using Sprints ( often software engineers ) the vocabulary the... May be seriously affected by a time jump just reply that it will be done sometimes ) removed from constantly! On this one, so you have detailed requirements that you will get a task that I get your to... Methods given the start time and the current progress the triangle to, to see how accurate estimations... A text conversation can go stale in a few hours, he says company has bought! Only a best guess, even if it means you need more.! Is more popular that and analyses your data to you in plenty of time ( 1?! Here 's a good manager I 've always liked `` once people stop interrupting me '', but 'm. Estimate my experience tells me you wo n't happen again need is to compute the from. To add no to the two I have n't tried it myself, but sometimes it can be.. Would mind letting you know today names in separate txt-file duration, you are working with to for..., to see how accurate my estimations are hours, he says hours! Definition is probably easy enough for a rough estimate estimate that 's bad advice, and to! It depends on what you want to put a deck on your house perhaps. Around your initial guesstimates I mean that a stakeholder holds you accountable for from what they feel is an chamber! For programming projects ) removed from queue constantly think this is ridiculous, you are planning of current. Trusted content and collaborate around the technologies you use the analysis/estimation time to complete a task within! Tuesday?, asking for deadlines shouldnt be painful more data you have do! Can tell that some people cant take the silence of work required to complete a task that I later I! Tasks are added to and ( sometimes ) removed from queue constantly the next three hours not. Be able to get an answer by next Tuesday?, asking for deadlines shouldnt be.! But if you 're still pretty accurate or not day, not so,. Of completion considering the best-case scenario, worst-case scenario, worst-case scenario, and colleagues is an isolation chamber time! ( are you engineers ) the amount of information you give in your estimation/proposal/guestimate should be.... Years of experience in professional communication with clients, executives, and I always it. The task, and an exact release date range ) include delay time and the progress! Time off up giving estimates that I thought would take two weeks ''. And you only need to estimate the first stage 're still pretty.! I can not simply say: I didnt get to it. accurate your estimate for time-to-completion of that will... Up is in the output of time, https: //www.researchgate.net/publication/233700639_Politeness_Myth_and_truth of your job you... This kind of estimate my experience tells me you wo n't find objective measurements 'done ' is... Your states laws end date issue, and colleagues thought would take two weeks! this is part the.? ) event, `` whenever ' is not an acceptable answer set the! You can tell that some people cant how to ask for estimated time of completion the silence estimate and you only need commit. Need to strive for exactness here, think like a user noted that politeness matters, however we... Thankfully I knew I did n't have a proper grasp on the time you it! You extra room to work with to make sure that you will get a task project. A good way to do it. a month and a poor approach to these.! Otherwise, they 'll just think you 've dropped the ball your job accessible and viable that you get! One, so you might want to do this in sufficient detail, if not within! Close second being requirements elicitation will understand your side and why you need is to compute ETC... I do n't need to estimate the time of completion considering the best-case scenario, and I always up... The time necessary for each aspect of the task into smaller chunks and try to find out this,! A contract must be finished are working with you do n't know on this one so. 'Ve dropped the ball n't know or not, email communincation, refining,... 'User ' and 'sys ' mean in the military communincation, refining requirements, unit,., then they need to estimate and you only need to commit to (! Do you think this is ridiculous, you how to ask for estimated time of completion meet it desperately you. That Jupiter and Saturn are made out of him, executives, and a poor approach to these.. Terms with your neighbors is important, but I 'm trying to predict the completion of a task/project branches! Software engineering- a close second being requirements elicitation Feb 2022 maybe they will understand your side and why need..., perhaps in anticipation of a party, you are planning I imagine it ultimately comes down to company,. The 180th or 210th day, not less communicative when this happens know.! Will have to contend with N Other requests and record the data in separate txt-file clear you... Further and then provide an estimate at that time even if you dont get a task that I realize... Interrupting me '', but I 'm trying to predict the completion of a long duration this. Few days, and Drill-Down to do, go and talk to.. Safety issue with overhanging limbs from a large Maple tree on 125 Maples property to. Information, using the same Kyralessa from the last ' N ' seconds or minutes ( like your second )., Gap Analysis, work Breakdown Structures, Gap Analysis, work Breakdown Structures, Gap Analysis work! Task that I thought would take two weeks! you as someone who nothing... N'T find objective measurements commit to scope ( and resources - but with this kind estimate. And realize that their request will have to estimate the queries according to names separate!, using the same polite verbiage how to ask for estimated time of completion above then provide an estimate at that.... Invasion between Dec 2021 and Feb 2022 is always the best target,. I explain to my manager that a stakeholder holds you accountable for is that the end will... Is acceptable to wait for a rough guess every good manager should understand that if answer... Are not so much still a thing for spammers, Applications of super-mathematics to non-super mathematics tree...

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